Sarnen vs Gunzwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 1
CAS
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GOL
4 - 1
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
ASC
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 3
SAR
24%
22%
55%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ESC
4 - 1
GUN
65%
18%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GUN
1 - 5
BUO
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ZOF
5 - 1
GUN
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
GUN
0 - 1
KUS
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HER
4 - 3
GUN
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |