Sarnen vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LUZ
2 - 3
SAR
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 2
ESC
39%
23%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
FCP
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BRU
3 - 1
SAR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCA
31%
21%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 4
WIL
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCS
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 2
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |