Sarnen vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BRU
3 - 1
SAR
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCA
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAR
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 2
SAR
68%
16%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 1
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 2
LUG
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
FCP
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 0
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |