Sarmiento vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
23.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 2
SAR
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 0
TEM
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
IRV
0 - 2
SAR
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAR
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
CAU
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 0
HUR
36%
30%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
TEM
1 - 0
PAT
36%
31%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
IRV
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
PAT
56%
27%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CAU
0 - 0
PAT
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |