Sarmiento vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
SAR
58%
24%
17%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 4
CAU
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 0
ALD
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GLP
0 - 1
SAR
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
NOB
0 - 0
ALD
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GLP
1 - 0
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 2
VEL
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GOD
2 - 2
NOB
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
NOB
0 - 1
HUR
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |