Sarego vs St. Georgen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
SAR
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 2
TAM
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VNZ
6 - 2
SAR
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 2
LEG
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
SAR
70%
19%
12%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St. Georgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
SAC
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GIO
3 - 3
STG
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STG
2 - 0
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TAM
3 - 3
STG
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |