Sarego vs Sacilese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 3
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
ITA
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 4
DEL
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAR
65%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sacilese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 3
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 1
SAC
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 2
LEG
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
SAC
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 1
VNZ
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |