Sarajevo vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
12º
4º
45
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZEL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 3
SAR
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
ZRI
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
4 - 0
SAR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 3
ZRI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
BBL
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 3
VEL
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 1
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
POS
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |