Sarajevo vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
12º
4º
37
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 3
SAR
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 3
SAR
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
POS
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 0
SLO
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
0 - 1
SLO
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 3
ZRI
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
BBL
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |