Copa Gaúcha 1ra Fase. Jor. 5

Sapucaiense vs AE Garibaldi analysis

Sapucaiense AE Garibaldi
24 ELO 20
-2.4% Tilt 6.3%
29104º General ELO ranking 29723º
788º Country ELO ranking 906º
ELO win probability
53%
Sapucaiense
21.2%
Draw
25.8%
AE Garibaldi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
Sapucaiense
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.8%
Win probability
AE Garibaldi
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sapucaiense
-17%
+20%
AE Garibaldi

ELO progression

Sapucaiense
AE Garibaldi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sapucaiense
Sapucaiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2021
UHA
Uniao Harmonia
0 - 6
Sapucaiense
SAP
10%
14%
76%
23 7 16 0
07 Oct. 2021
SAP
Sapucaiense
1 - 2
Aimoré
AIM
12%
20%
68%
23 50 27 0
28 Sep. 2021
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
1 - 0
Sapucaiense
SAP
64%
23%
14%
23 43 20 0
21 Sep. 2021
SAP
Sapucaiense
0 - 1
Novo Hamburgo
NOV
14%
22%
64%
24 48 24 -1
16 Sep. 2021
AEG
AE Garibaldi
2 - 1
Sapucaiense
SAP
12%
16%
72%
26 12 14 -2

Matches

AE Garibaldi
AE Garibaldi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2021
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
2 - 1
AE Garibaldi
AEG
60%
22%
19%
20 39 19 0
07 Oct. 2021
AEG
AE Garibaldi
2 - 1
Uniao Harmonia
UHA
78%
14%
9%
20 7 13 0
28 Sep. 2021
AEG
AE Garibaldi
1 - 0
Novo Hamburgo
NOV
8%
16%
76%
14 49 35 +6
23 Sep. 2021
AIM
Aimoré
1 - 0
AE Garibaldi
AEG
78%
15%
7%
14 50 36 0
16 Sep. 2021
AEG
AE Garibaldi
2 - 1
Sapucaiense
SAP
12%
16%
72%
12 26 14 +2
X