São Raimundo AM vs Nacional Borbense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Raimundo AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
NAC
31%
24%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
SAO
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 3
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
FAS
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional Borbense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAN
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
FAS
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
5 - 1
NAC
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
NAC
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
PRI
3 - 0
NAC
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |