São Paulo Sub 20 vs Bahia Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
INT
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 4
SAO
42%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAO
25%
25%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAH
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
BAH
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 0
BAH
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |