São Paulo vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 2
SAO
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2005 |
STR
3 - 3
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
5 - 0
POR
94%
5%
1%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 3
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
UCH
3 - 0
SWA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
COB
1 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
UCH
3 - 2
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 1
UCH
23%
25%
53%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
UCH
2 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |