Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 8-3
São Paulo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 4
SAO
13%
24%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 0
COQ
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 4
SAO
13%
24%
63%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
USF
76%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |