Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 3-3
São Paulo vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
APC
0 - 2
SAO
13%
22%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 2
VAS
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 1
ABC
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
CRI
1 - 0
SPO
31%
30%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 0
BOT
71%
20%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
SPO
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |