São Paulo vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
20%
72%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
5 - 1
INT
86%
11%
3%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
8%
20%
72%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 2
SAO
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
SAO
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
13%
28%
59%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |