São Paulo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
8%
20%
72%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
82%
13%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
18%
26%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |