Copa Libertadores . Last 16
Global 4-2
São Paulo vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SCI
0 - 2
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
RAC
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
BOC
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RAC
3 - 0
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
RAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 0
RAC
45%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |