Paulista A1 Etapas Finales. Final
Global 2-0
São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
RAC
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 0
MIR
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 2
FER
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 4
DYJ
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
COR
0 - 2
PAL
29%
28%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAL
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
IVT
0 - 1
PAL
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |