São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 2
SAO
14%
20%
66%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 3
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 1
JUV
96%
4%
1%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
20%
21%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 4
PAL
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
PAL
4 - 0
POR
94%
5%
2%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 0
TAC
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MOG
1 - 2
PAL
14%
20%
67%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
93%
5%
2%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | +1 |