São Paulo vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 2
FER
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
16%
24%
60%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
COR
2 - 2
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
1 - 2
MIR
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |