Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 2-2
São Paulo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RBB
2 - 0
SAO
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SCI
1 - 1
SAO
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
ITU
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 2
JUV
6%
14%
80%
|
63 | 6 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
APA
85%
12%
3%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
JUV
26%
28%
47%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |