Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 0-2
São Paulo vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
BAH
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
BOT
46%
27%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
BAH
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 0
AVA
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 2
BAH
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BAH
3 - 2
COR
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |