São Paulo vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
16%
23%
62%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
LIN
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
RBB
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
70%
21%
9%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
POR
45%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |