São Paulo vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
OES
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 4
SAO
13%
23%
65%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 3
POR
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |