AR São Martinho vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
SMA
27%
23%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
VIA
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 4
VPE
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 2
CAS
6%
15%
78%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |