São José vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 3
NOR
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 2
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 2
CAP
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 4
MAT
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
COM
21%
26%
54%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 1
BAN
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |