São José vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SER
1 - 0
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 0
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
LIN
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
SER
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
CAT
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |