Paulista A3 1ª Fase. Jor. 3

São José vs EC São Bernardo analysis

São José EC São Bernardo
44 ELO 49
-2.2% Tilt -13.1%
2601º General ELO ranking 4116º
77º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
32.8%
São José
25.3%
Draw
41.9%
EC São Bernardo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
São José
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.9%
Win probability
EC São Bernardo
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São José
+78%
-3%
EC São Bernardo

ELO progression

São José
EC São Bernardo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São José
São José
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2023
SAO
São José
1 - 1
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
43%
25%
32%
43 45 2 0
22 Jan. 2023
MAT
Matonense
1 - 1
São José
SAO
29%
26%
45%
44 36 8 -1
23 Apr. 2022
SAO
São José
0 - 1
Votuporanguense
VOT
39%
26%
35%
45 49 4 -1
20 Apr. 2022
USA
USAC
1 - 1
São José
SAO
39%
26%
35%
45 41 4 0
16 Apr. 2022
COM
Comercial
0 - 0
São José
SAO
66%
21%
13%
44 55 11 +1

Matches

EC São Bernardo
EC São Bernardo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2023
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
66%
20%
14%
50 41 9 0
21 Jan. 2023
RIO
Rio Preto
0 - 4
EC São Bernardo
BER
28%
25%
46%
49 41 8 +1
03 Sep. 2022
OES
Oeste
2 - 0
EC São Bernardo
BER
56%
25%
20%
50 57 7 -1
27 Aug. 2022
BER
EC São Bernardo
3 - 2
Portuguesa
POR
21%
25%
54%
49 62 13 +1
20 Aug. 2022
AGU
Água Santa
1 - 1
EC São Bernardo
BER
64%
22%
14%
48 59 11 +1
X