São João da Barra vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João da Barra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
GOY
3 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
QUI
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
SAO
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
TIG
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 3
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
SER
3 - 0
RBC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
GOY
29%
26%
46%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
SER
70%
18%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
BAR
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 0
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |