Carioca Série B1 Fase de Grupos round 3

São Gonçalo RJ vs Goytacaz analysis

São Gonçalo RJ Goytacaz
41 ELO 34
-15.7% Tilt -7.5%
5807º General ELO ranking 21459º
239º Country ELO ranking 622º
ELO win probability
60.5%
São Gonçalo RJ
22.2%
Draw
17.2%
Goytacaz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
São Gonçalo RJ
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
Goytacaz
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Gonçalo RJ
+19%
+19%
Goytacaz

ELO progression

São Gonçalo RJ
Goytacaz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Gonçalo RJ
São Gonçalo RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2023
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 1
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
38%
26%
37%
41 41 0 0
12 Sep. 2023
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
1 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
48%
24%
28%
41 36 5 0
26 Oct. 2022
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
2 - 0
Nova Cidade
NCI
55%
22%
23%
41 30 11 0
22 Oct. 2022
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
0 - 0
7 de Abril
CIG
47%
23%
30%
41 35 6 0
14 Oct. 2022
RIO
Rio Sao Paulo
1 - 4
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
25%
21%
54%
40 31 9 +1

Matches

Goytacaz
Goytacaz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2023
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 1
Goytacaz
GOY
63%
21%
16%
33 41 8 0
09 Sep. 2023
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 1
Serra Macaense
SER
28%
25%
46%
33 41 8 0
23 Aug. 2023
OLA
Olaria
2 - 1
Goytacaz
GOY
70%
20%
10%
33 50 17 0
16 Aug. 2023
GOY
Goytacaz
0 - 1
Olaria
OLA
14%
22%
65%
34 50 16 -1
19 Nov. 2022
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 2
Barra da Tijuca
BAR
40%
27%
34%
35 39 4 -1