São Francisco PA vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 2
FRA
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 2
FRA
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REM
1 - 1
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 1
REM
25%
23%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PAY
6 - 2
AGU
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
CAM
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
TUN
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
4 - 0
AGU
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |