São Francisco AC vs Vasco da Gama AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
55.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 1
PLA
11%
15%
74%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 2
SFC
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
8 - 0
SFC
76%
15%
10%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 3
NAU
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
GAL
7 - 0
SFC
76%
15%
9%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
RIO
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PLA
3 - 4
VAS
80%
14%
6%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 0
VAS
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
VAS
2 - 3
PLA
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 7
RIO
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | -1 |