Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.2%
72.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
21.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
28.9%
0-2
18.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ADE
3 - 0
SFC
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 53 | -11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 0
SFC
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SFC
0 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SFC
1 - 1
AND
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
5 - 1
SFC
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
7%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 1
IND
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
ADE
2 - 0
RIO
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 55 | -27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 2
IND
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 3
RIO
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 64 | -18 | 0 |