São Carlos vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OSV
1 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
FRA
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
AUD
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
FEL
1 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
VFC
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
2 - 0
FEL
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 0
ECN
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRÊ
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
2 - 2
BAT
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 1
ECN
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |