São Carlos vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
IND
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
AME
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
TAU
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |