São Caetano vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
PPE
2 - 1
SAO
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
PRI
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
XVD
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 2
PPE
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 1
TAU
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
XVD
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
XVD
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |