São Caetano vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
XVD
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 2
OES
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
VEL
35%
26%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 2
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |