São Caetano vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
VOT
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 2
VEL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
VEL
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |