São Caetano vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
SJS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 5
NAC
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |