São Caetano vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
XVD
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
PPE
2 - 1
SAO
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
MON
82%
14%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
TAU
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |