Paulista A2 Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
São Caetano vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
SAO
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
AUD
60%
22%
17%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
VOT
0 - 3
SAO
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 3
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
POR
1 - 3
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
SAO
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
PEN
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |