Série B Brazil round 38

São Caetano vs Brasiliense analysis

São Caetano Brasiliense
77 ELO 69
-16.5% Tilt -3.3%
17361º General ELO ranking 1634º
448º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
49.3%
São Caetano
26.7%
Draw
24.1%
Brasiliense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
São Caetano
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.1%
Win probability
Brasiliense
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Caetano
+22%
+31%
Brasiliense

ELO progression

São Caetano
Brasiliense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Caetano
São Caetano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2007
IFC
Ipatinga FC
1 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
32%
27%
41%
77 65 12 0
14 Nov. 2007
FOR
Fortaleza EC
0 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
44%
26%
31%
77 70 7 0
10 Nov. 2007
SAO
São Caetano
2 - 2
Ituano
ITU
64%
23%
13%
77 58 19 0
03 Nov. 2007
SAO
São Caetano
4 - 0
CRB
CRB
61%
24%
15%
76 60 16 +1
31 Oct. 2007
REM
Remo
0 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
30%
26%
43%
77 62 15 -1

Matches

Brasiliense
Brasiliense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2007
BRA
Brasiliense
1 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
53%
25%
22%
70 69 1 0
13 Nov. 2007
BRA
Brasiliense
3 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
60%
22%
18%
69 61 8 +1
10 Nov. 2007
CEA
Ceará
1 - 3
Brasiliense
BRA
45%
26%
30%
68 65 3 +1
03 Nov. 2007
BRA
Brasiliense
5 - 1
Ituano
ITU
63%
22%
16%
68 59 9 0
30 Oct. 2007
VIT
Vitória
1 - 0
Brasiliense
BRA
56%
22%
22%
69 68 1 -1