São Caetano vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
22%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
68%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAX
6 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
SLU
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUB
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
GRE
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 0
BRA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
FLA
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |