São Bernardo FC vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 6
SAO
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |