São Bento vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
INT
3 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
FER
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
PAU
4 - 0
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |