São Bento vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
SAO
32%
24%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
SAO
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
FRA
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
SVA
75%
16%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
SEP
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |