Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 2
SAN
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
FFL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
SLO
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
PPE
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SAO
5 - 0
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |