Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores Fase 3. Final

Global 5-3

Santos FC vs San Lorenzo analysis

Santos FC San Lorenzo
83 ELO 78
5.5% Tilt -9.5%
136º General ELO ranking 110º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.6%
Santos FC
20.8%
Draw
15.6%
San Lorenzo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
San Lorenzo
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos FC
+3%
-3%
San Lorenzo

ELO progression

Santos FC
San Lorenzo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
85%
11%
3%
83 57 26 0
07 Apr. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 3
Santos FC
SAN
33%
27%
40%
83 78 5 0
16 Mar. 2021
LAR
Deportivo Lara
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
25%
27%
48%
83 73 10 0
13 Mar. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Ituano
ITU
83%
12%
5%
83 58 25 0
09 Mar. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Deportivo Lara
LAR
67%
20%
13%
83 73 10 0

Matches

San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
PLA
Platense
2 - 4
San Lorenzo
SLO
20%
27%
54%
78 60 18 0
07 Apr. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 3
Santos FC
SAN
33%
27%
40%
78 83 5 0
03 Apr. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Rosario Central
CEN
55%
24%
21%
78 74 4 0
30 Mar. 2021
EST
Estudiantes La Plata
0 - 2
San Lorenzo
SLO
42%
30%
29%
77 77 0 +1
25 Mar. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
0 - 2
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
39%
26%
35%
78 81 3 -1
X