Paulista A1 Final
Global 1-2
Santos FC vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
INT
83%
13%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
5 - 1
PPE
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
8%
21%
71%
|
91 | 62 | 29 | 0 |